The German Farmers' Association reports a significant drop in grain and rapeseed yields, though officials do not expect immediate, sharp increases in food prices.

The German Farmers' Association (DBV) has warned of a below-average harvest following a severe drought and heat wave. DBV President Joachim Rukwied stated that grain production is expected to fall 7% compared to last year, with significant crop damage reported across southern and western Germany. While the harvest is lower, Agriculture Minister Alois Rainer stated that the government does not anticipate a sudden or sharp spike in food prices.

Impact on Crop Production

Total grain production is forecast at 41.9 million tons, reflecting a shortfall of 3.3 million tons compared to 2025. Rapeseed production suffered the largest decline, dropping nearly 17% to 3.3 million tons. Additionally, the Federal Statistical Office projects an 18% decrease in the apple harvest, while sugar beet and potato crops are also expected to underperform.

Economic and Supply Concerns

While major food shortages are not expected, the reduced supply of rapeseed and sugar beet may necessitate increased imports. Local reports indicate that animal feed stocks have fallen drastically in several states. German food prices have already risen by over 36% since 2020, driven by factors including the war in Ukraine, energy costs, and supply chain disruptions.

Calls for Government Support

The DBV is requesting an immediate financial support package from the government, including an increase in the EU fertilizer aid budget from €60 million to €180 million. Farmers are also seeking a reduction in agricultural diesel taxes through November. Agriculture Minister Rainer has promised targeted assistance, pending the release of final harvest figures in late August.